00:00G'day from the Bureau, David here with an update on severe weather forecasts across
00:03parts of southeastern Australia over the next few days.
00:07It's going to be a wet and windy few days across the southeast.
00:10This system is not quite as strong as the one we saw at the start of last week, but
00:13there's still a couple of things to keep in mind, particularly the possibility of riverine
00:17flooding across northern Victoria and northern Tasmania following those recent rains.
00:22Also the possibility of wind damage to property and trees with a windy day expected across
00:27Victoria on Wednesday and difficult driving conditions, again mainly across Victoria during
00:33Wednesday with a combination of wet and windy weather on Wednesday.
00:38Let's take a look at the winds at first.
00:40So we've got a severe weather warning current here in the yellow area, extends almost to
00:44Ballarat right through the central ranges of Victoria, down through Melbourne, including
00:48the city and the northern suburbs, and then through parts of the Mornington and Bellarine
00:52peninsulas there as well on the other side of Port Phillip Bay.
00:55So conditions there expected to reach around 60 to 70 km an hour winds from the north during
01:02tomorrow with peak gusts up to 90 km an hour.
01:04We're expecting the winds to peak through Melbourne in the late morning before easing
01:08in the afternoon, but it will broadly be a windy day right across western and central Victoria
01:13at first and parts of eastern Victoria later as well.
01:17In terms of the flood situation, we've actually got a few flood warnings still current from the
01:21rain last week. So those are in green here, the Kiwi River, the Goulburn River, the Avoca and
01:27the Loddon Rivers in northern Victoria.
01:30And these catchments right across northern and northeastern Victoria and the catchments
01:34through northwestern Tasmania here are all quite wet from repeated winter rains over the last
01:41few months. So those catchments in these areas, they're wet and they're ready to respond
01:45quickly to any rain that falls over the next few days. So there's the current flood warnings.
01:49We could see further flood warnings issued over the next few days as that rain starts
01:53to fall in those wet catchments.
01:56So what does the broader picture look like? Well, we've got this cloud band extending down
02:01here from central Australia. That's pulling in moisture from the tropical Indian Ocean.
02:04And through Tuesday, it's linking up with this trough system here in the Bight.
02:08As the system moves east during Wednesday, it brings widespread rain to eastern South Australia,
02:13western New South Wales, much of Victoria and northern Tasmania as well. So plenty of rain
02:18right across southeastern Australia. That then clears out on Thursday. We then see this
02:22follow up trough reach Tasmania and bring further showers later on Thursday. And then into Friday,
02:28we'll see a high pressure system move in from the west and that'll settle things down ahead
02:32of the weekend across the southeast. So in terms of accumulated rainfall, over the next few days,
02:41large parts of those areas of southeastern Australia are likely to see 10 to 30 millimetres of rainfall.
02:46That corresponds to the yellow and the orange colours on this map. And then higher totals about
02:52those wet catchments. So northeastern Victoria, 30 to 40 millimetres possible, mainly on Wednesday
02:59and a little into Thursday. And northwestern Tasmania here in the magenta colours could see 40 to 60
03:04millimetres of rain. And again, those catchments are quite wet. So the rivers and creeks in those areas will
03:09respond quickly to rainfall and will start to rise quickly. So if you live in these parts of
03:17southeastern Australia, or if you know someone who does, now is the time to be across the latest
03:20warnings and forecasts at our website, our app and on our social media channels.
03:25Thanks for watching. We'll see you next time.
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