Skip to playerSkip to main content
  • 5 hours ago
Découvrez comment une mystérieuse source sous l'océan Pacifique contrôle le puissant phénomène El Niño, responsable de catastrophes naturelles partout dans le monde. Une avancée scientifique qui permet désormais aux prévisionnistes de prévoir avec précision ces événements extrêmes et de mieux protéger notre planète.

Category

🎈
Fun
Transcript
00:00If things on Earth weren't already quite strange, our planet is becoming a little more.
00:08There is a hidden symmetry that no one knew.
00:12And scientists are looking for now to understand why it exists.
00:16The most surprising, it is that the answer could be one of the climate systems
00:21most powerful and devastating systems of Earth.
00:24El Niño.
00:26The Earth has a curious thing.
00:28If we divide it in north and south,
00:31we can see that it's almost the same amount of solar light in the space.
00:36But they are completely different.
00:39There are more of Earth at the north and more of the south.
00:43The clouds are different, the meteor also,
00:46and yet the energy bill is almost identical.
00:51The term known for this phenomenon is the symmetry hemisphere of the Albedo.
00:56It's a mystery for us, but the explanation could be simple.
01:01The south has more clouds that envoies the light of the sun.
01:06At the same time, the north has more earth and the particles polluants
01:10which reflect also the light.
01:14But then the things become more interesting.
01:18A group of scientists asked if this balance was not only north-sud
01:23and if the Earth was also balanced in another direction.
01:26They found the satellite data and discovered something surprising.
01:31There seems to be an equilibrium east-west also.
01:34It's not a perfect line that we can trace on a chart, of course,
01:38but statistically it appears.
01:41If we divide the Earth along the Méridians 27ºC
01:45and 153ºC,
01:47we get half of the same amount of solar light.
01:52This line passes the Europe, the Africa, the Turkey,
01:56and of the other, there is the Alaska and a large part of the ocean.
02:00Of course, these are very different places, but the numbers concord.
02:05To understand all this,
02:07researchers have used 25 years of data
02:09from Ceres satellites,
02:11from 2001 to 2025.
02:15These satellites measure the quantity of light
02:18that takes the Earth
02:19and that it sends in space.
02:21If the numbers are stable,
02:23the temperature of the planet is also the temperature.
02:25But if they change,
02:27the climate is warm or is warm?
02:29The team has everything to decompose.
02:31Océans without glass,
02:33with glass,
02:34terres,
02:35ciel nuageux,
02:36ciel dégagé,
02:37each element of the system.
02:39Then they tested different ways
02:41to cut the planet
02:42to see if the schémas were stable.
02:45One of them has taken.
02:47The line of 27 degrees
02:48has shown a strange balance.
02:51The two sides
02:52present almost the same proportion
02:54of ocean and the Earth,
02:56a similar volume of clouds,
02:57and even
02:58compared to the light
03:00reflected by the ciel dégagé.
03:03At the beginning,
03:05researchers were sceptic.
03:06After all,
03:07the Earth is a sphere
03:08and if we cut enough
03:09enough,
03:10we can sometimes find
03:12some schémas
03:12that do not mean anything.
03:15But when they have
03:16deepened the tests,
03:17the schéma
03:18did not disappear.
03:19More still,
03:20it revealed a triple symphony.
03:22First,
03:23it is the only line
03:24east-west
03:24that creates this balance.
03:27Second,
03:28it does not arrive.
03:29It is fixed
03:30to 27 degrees
03:31from 2001
03:32to today.
03:34And third,
03:34the two half of the planet
03:36have almost identical proportions
03:39of the Earth
03:39and the ocean.
03:41But what is really
03:43what causes
03:43this symmetry?
03:45For the moment,
03:46everything goes towards
03:47the ENSO,
03:47the Australian Australian
03:48El Niño.
03:51It is a massive cycle
03:53where the Pacific Ocean
03:54alter between
03:55cold and cold phases.
03:57The ENSO
03:58manifests each other
04:00at seven years.
04:02And also
04:03between three states.
04:04El Niño,
04:05La Niña
04:06and a neutral phase.
04:09El Niño
04:10is the cold phase.
04:11The Alizé,
04:13these permanent vents
04:13which souffle
04:14from east to west
04:15to the Equator,
04:16are weak,
04:17even sometimes.
04:18This allows
04:19to accumulate
04:21in the centre
04:22and east
04:22of the Pacific.
04:23During this time,
04:25the cold waters
04:25and deep
04:26close to the South
04:27stop.
04:29This phenomenon
04:30affects the whole world.
04:31There is more
04:32in some regions
04:33of the Americas,
04:34but the time
04:35becomes extremely dry
04:36in Australia
04:37and in some parts
04:38of the Asia.
04:39The Niña,
04:40it is the reverse.
04:41The Alizé
04:42will strengthen
04:43and push the cold
04:44to the Asia.
04:45Therefore,
04:47more cold water
04:47rich in nutrients
04:48will rise
04:49to the Pacific Pacific.
04:50The time
04:51becomes generally
04:52more humid
04:53in Australia
04:53and Indonesia
04:54and more dry
04:55in the south
04:56of the United States.
04:57And then,
04:58there is a neutral phase
04:59when nothing
05:00is happening
05:01and that
05:02the ocean temperatures
05:03are close
05:04from the normal.
05:05Another curious thing,
05:07the name of this phenomenon
05:08divides the system
05:09in two.
05:10The Niña
05:11and the Niña
05:12design the
05:13component
05:13oceanic
05:14related to the
05:16Pacific.
05:17The oscillation austral
05:19is the
05:20atmospheric component
05:21or the variations
05:23of pressure
05:23between the Pacific
05:24west
05:25and the Pacific
05:27east
05:27close to Tahiti.
05:29And as the Pacific
05:30is immense,
05:31this only system
05:32influences the
05:33world's atmosphere
05:35inondations,
05:37rain,
05:37rain,
05:38and even
05:39hurricanes.
05:40Now,
05:41the idea of
05:42symmetry.
05:43The researchers
05:43noticed that the
05:45slight fluctuations
05:45annually
05:46of the Est-West
05:48seemed to coincide
05:49with the variations
05:50of the Enso.
05:51And they could not
05:52explain it without
05:53the circulation
05:53of Walker.
05:55It's an immense
05:56boucle of air
05:57ascendant
05:58and descendant
05:58above the Pacific
06:00which relie
06:00the sea systems
06:01of all the tropics.
06:03It's like a gigantic
06:04tapis roulant
06:05which places
06:05heat and humidity
06:06around the planet.
06:08This circulation
06:09determines
06:10where the waves
06:11form and
06:12what amount of light
06:13is envoyed
06:14into the space.
06:16So,
06:17during the Niña,
06:18the hemisphere
06:18A
06:19envies a little more
06:20light.
06:20During El Niño,
06:22it's the hemisphere
06:23west
06:23that takes the relay.
06:24The system
06:25slowly
06:25and, with the time,
06:27it anchor this
06:28line of symmetry
06:29near 27 degrees
06:30Est.
06:33This means
06:34that the Earth's climate
06:35is not an ensemble
06:37of systems
06:37separate.
06:38Everything is interconnected.
06:39And here is why
06:40it's important.
06:42We already know
06:42that the symmetry
06:43of the Earth's albedo
06:44control the quantity
06:45of solar energy
06:47envoyed
06:47into space.
06:49At the moment,
06:50it's about 29%
06:52and even
06:52small variations
06:53of this number
06:54count enormously
06:55for the climate
06:56warming.
06:57The problem,
06:59it's that many
06:59climatic models
07:00still don't still
07:01not correctly
07:02this symmetry
07:03east-west.
07:04And it must change
07:05because if a model
07:07loses this scheme,
07:08it also may
07:08lose something
07:09even more important.
07:11And that's where
07:12it becomes inquietant.
07:14The same climate
07:15system
07:15which maintains
07:16this balance
07:17is also responsible
07:18of El Niño
07:19and La Niña.
07:20And some researchers
07:22think that the next
07:23El Niño
07:24could become
07:25the most powerful
07:26for over 100 years.
07:28It could hit
07:29since 2026.
07:31By the past,
07:32a El Niño
07:33similar
07:33caused a famine
07:35and famine
07:35which killed
07:36up to 60 millions
07:38of people.
07:38In 1876,
07:41a massive
07:41floodplain
07:42was extended
07:42to Asia,
07:43Africa
07:44and South America.
07:45The pluies
07:46have disappeared
07:46for months
07:47and the rivers
07:48have disappeared.
07:49The droughts
07:51were destroyed
07:51on many other
07:52territories.
07:53Over the two years,
07:54millions of people
07:56have slowly
07:56suffered.
07:57The historians
07:58think that
07:59up to 3%
08:00of the world
08:00has not survived
08:02to this catastrophe.
08:03Today,
08:04it is one
08:05of the most
08:05murderers
08:06of the human history.
08:09Even if modern technology
08:10makes us more advanced
08:11than the people
08:12of 1870,
08:14we still depend
08:14of a stable climate
08:15for food,
08:17agriculture,
08:18water
08:18and electricity.
08:20And El Niño
08:21has the power
08:21to perturb
08:22our planet
08:23at a gigantic scale.
08:25The most worrying
08:25is that this past catastrophe
08:27has not been caused
08:28by an exceptional
08:30exceptional.
08:31The researchers
08:32think that these conditions
08:33have been developed
08:34naturally
08:34and that the
08:35climate climate
08:36can easily
08:37reproduce something
08:38of as extreme.
08:40Today,
08:41the world is
08:42quite hot
08:42than the years
08:441870.
08:44If a super El Niño
08:46came to the future,
08:47the drought
08:48could be even more
08:49severe.
08:51A powerful El Niño
08:53is perhaps already
08:54in formation
08:55in the Pacific
08:55and some researchers
08:57think
08:57he could be
08:58the most strong
08:59ever recorded.
09:01The ocean temperatures
09:03in a part
09:03of the Pacific
09:04are rapidly
09:06In some places,
09:07the water could
09:08exceed more
09:085 degrees
09:09than normal.
09:10For the climate system
09:12of the planet,
09:13this difference
09:13is huge.
09:15The danger
09:15is in reality
09:16even bigger
09:17than it seems.
09:18Today,
09:19we have satellites,
09:20predictions,
09:21global communications
09:23but there are
09:24low points.
09:24low points.
09:25The supply chains
09:26of food supply
09:27are under pressure
09:28and many regions
09:29do already face
09:30to the drought.
09:32The ocean temperatures
09:33beat records
09:34for years.
09:35Some agricultural zones
09:37become less stable
09:38because of
09:38meteorological changes.
09:40The extreme
09:41events
09:41are multiplied
09:43every year
09:44and a
09:45fort El Niño
09:46could put oil
09:47into the fire.
09:482
09:501
09:512
Comments

Recommended