00:00so the tampa bay rays to me are the team to beat in the american league but are they the
00:05team to
00:06beat tom if they got to go on the road in the postseason they better win that american league
00:10east that's all i gotta say because they're phenomenal at the trop but they leave the
00:15trop and they don't win now they ran into boston they're the hottest team in the league they got
00:20swept and i understand that tonight you got dylan sees the cy young favorite in the american league
00:25is on the mound that's why you see minus 164 there but nick martinez is good too for tampa bay
00:30i guess tom my concern is the rays on the road have they just built themselves a squad
00:36that plays very well and i was there this year watching games too they really seem to have
00:41things down at tropicana field to a t one of the very best records i think maybe the most wins
00:46if
00:47i'm not mistaken in the american league at tropicana field but once they leave the trop it seems like
00:52things go south a little bit so i guess they're hoping and kevin cash is hoping that they at the
00:57at the worst if i'm not mistaken if they clinch that first wild card then they would host the first
01:02three games at the trop then they'd have to go on the road there but anything worse than that tom
01:06i i would think they're in some trouble that would appear to be how things are unfolding right now
01:13and what's most concerning to me at least based on this boston series which is a four game sample size
01:19coming out of the all-star break against a red hot red socks team you know got to put some
01:24caveats in here but the pitching staff is not what i expected it to be you know that was to
01:30me has
01:30always been one of the strengths of the rays that they can win high scoring they can win low scoring
01:34but they have now have a combination of their pitching staff is bad and they didn't get the
01:39offense going they scored one run in one of the games they scored zero runs in another game number
01:43they scored nine runs between the other two games but being held to zero and one run into the games
01:48while having bad pitching just is not the race formula it's not the race formula at least on
01:52the road so i have a very very tough time going back to them i'd be willing to lay off
01:57them this
01:57entire series and just wait till they get back home and then go right back to betting the rays
02:01at you know the friendly confines of tropicana field so to speak yeah for the for them they seem
02:06to have uh things down there but as tom mentioned the reason why the rays are in the spot this
02:11week is
02:12because of how hot boston has played and i don't know that that's going to change although
02:16this is two hot teams facing off with one another all of a sudden tonight you look at the baltimore
02:21orioles shane baz and company boy they seem like they got right too tom they put themselves at least
02:26back in the conversation we thought absolute sellers maybe a week ago i think they've won seven in a row
02:32is that correct seven wins in a row for them 13 wins in a row for the boston red sox
02:37so two of the
02:38longest winning streaks of the major league season peyton toley he's been great he bitches for the red
02:43sox i mentioned baz for baltimore but that place is going to be rocking you know everyone is showing
02:48up at fenway now that not that they don't before but this is like a historic run that they're on
02:53here
02:54this this is as they say the trend is my friend i can't go against boston right now while they're
02:59playing like this tom i know it's going to end and the shoe will drop so to speak they'll start
03:03losing but i don't know that it is tonight so i'm not betting against the red sox i'm not betting
03:10on
03:10the orioles but i do like paying totally under six and a half strikeouts uh you know a little
03:15bit of juice at minus 150 his strikeout rate is solid this year at 25.5 percent but you look
03:21over
03:21this last 10 game sample size from him and it is uh varied wildly some games up at you know
03:2733 34
03:28up at 46 percent in the most recent start which was a short outing but he has other outings craig
03:33where we're looking at 8 10 12 strikeout rate and because it's beautiful hitting weather in
03:38fenway park which is already great hitters park to begin with he's going up against a red hot orioles
03:42team i'm not sure if the strikeouts are going to be there tonight i could see him getting to four
03:46getting to five maybe even getting to six he gives up a couple runs along the way but i think
03:51the pitch count could be an issue for him tonight i don't see him pushing his 7 8 9 strikeouts
03:55tonight against this orioles lineup which granted is not amazing but they're hot right now
03:59do you sort of buy baltimore being back in it here tom i i i had the same feeling a
04:05little bit
04:05that i did with boston i i still don't know that the orioles have enough pitching are they just on
04:10a good run or let's just call their number 81 wins at the end of the year you think they
04:15can hit that
04:17maybe but i think that's a little bit smoke and mirrors they beat the royals and then they beat
04:22the astros to get on this win streak like they they lost the series versus the cubs they took the
04:27last
04:27game versus the cubs they swept the royals congrats and then they beat the astros a team that you and
04:32i both think are not good so it's like they're winning games but is it against the best quality
04:36opponent no
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